Iran Nuke before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

• Resolver: official source.
• Deadline: closing date in UTC.
• Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.