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Prediction markets

10 active markets · category “Science”

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2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

3rd hottest
3rd hottest49%
1st hottest
1st hottest46%2 more
$2.3KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3161%
December 31
December 3155%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman84%
Hong Wang
Hong Wang79%9 more
$566KVol. Jul 30science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

0
53%YesNo
1
30%YesNo
$3.5KVol. Jul 12science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC44%
1.15–1.19ºC31%4 more
$1.9KVol. Aug 1science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

≤8
41%YesNo
9
14%YesNo
$4.2KVol. Jul 12science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

12%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

78%

chance

YesNo
$420.01Vol. Dec 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

chance

YesNo
$116KVol. Mar 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10037%
130–15930%7 more
$900.01Vol. Aug 1science